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Home eMedia Press Office

What the eNCA election poll 2024 reveals

Conducted by Mark Data, it highlights South Africans’ sentiments leading up to the elections.

by TMO Partner
May 9, 2024
in eMedia Press Office, News
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Forecasting the future
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[PRESS OFFICE] 29 May 2024 is an important day in the history of South Africa’s democracy.

To gauge the feelings of South Africans, eNCA took to the streets and conducted interviews with 3022 households that are representative of the wider society. Assisted by Mark Data (Pty) Ltd the interviews were conducted face-to-face and on a one-on-one basis.

Those interviewed ranged from city dwellers to rural citizens. Furthermore, the interviews were conducted in the person’s language of choice.

Information from 30% of those surveyed was double checked to improve the quality of the date. The margin of error was a respectable 1.8%.

eNCA is in the process of concluding another election poll. The results will be released a few days before the polls, on the 19 May 2024.


For more election news, analysis, and in-depth coverage, tune into eNCA, DStv Channel 403.


The participants were asked a little over 40 questions in the initial survey and these are some of the highlights from the poll.

WHY IS THE ANC LOSING SUPPORT?

  • CORRUPTION 39%
  • UNEMPLOYMENT 28%
  • LOADSHEDDING 19%
  • POVERTY 7%
  • WATER CUT-OFFS 6%

WHY THE INCREASE IN POVERTY AND INEQUALITY?

  • GOVERNMENT DOES NOT CARE 49%
  • THE GREED OF THE BLACK ELITE 48%
  • ANC POLICIES 35%
  • WHITES STILL BENEFIT FROM APARTHEID 33%
  • THE ANC IS DOING ITS BEST 14%

WHY IS THE DA GOVERNING THE WESTERN CAPE SUCCESSFULLY?

  • WHITES AND COLOUREDS SUPPORT THE DA 37%
  • DA LEADERS ARE WELL EDUCATED 34%
  • THE DA IS HARD WORKING AND NOT CORRUPT 35%
  • THE DA BENEFITS FROM APARTHEID 30%
  • THE DA DOES NOT GOVERN THE WESTERN CAPE WELL 20%

IF THE ANC LOSES THE 2024 ELECTIONS…

  • THEY WILL FIND A WAY TO STAY IN POWER 77%
  • THEY WILL GIVE UP POWER 21%

DISAPPOINTMENT LEVELS WITH POLITICS

  • DISAPPOINTED: 83%
  • NOT DISAPPOINTED: 16%

THE FUTURE…

  • WILL BE BETTER 24%
  • WILL BE MUCH THE SAME AS NOW 38%
  • WILL BE WORSE 35%

PARTY SUPPORTERS SUPPORTING BECAUSE THERE IS NO ONE ELSE TO VOTE FOR

  • IFP: 41%
  • MK: 35%
  • EFF: 29%
  • ANC: 20%
  • DA: 20%

HOW INTERESTED ARE VOTERS IN POLITICS?

  • LESS INTERESTED THAN BEFORE 36%
  • VERY INTERESTED 29%
  • NOT INTERESTED 26%
  • MORE INTERESTED THAN BEFORE 7%

2019 SUPPORTERS NOT VOTING IN 2024

(AVERAGE 14%)

  • DA: 19%
  • EFF: 16%
  • IFP: 12%
  • ANC: 10%
  • MK: 10%

2024 SUPPORTERS SWITCHING THEIR VOTE

(AVERAGE 27%)

  • MK: 68%
  • IFP: 52%
  • EFF: 47%
  • DA: 21%
  • ANC: 8%

VOTERS’ LIKELINESS TO VOTE

  • I WILL CERTAINLY VOTE 49.8%
  • I WILL PROBABLY VOTE 17.3%
  • I WILL VOTE IF I FIND TIME 10.9%
  • IT DEPENDS ON HOW I FEEL ON THE DAY 9%

VOTERS’ LIKELINESS TO VOTE OVERALL (Incl. those who will not vote)

  • CERTAIN TO VOTE 57%
  • POSSIBLY 39%
  • WILL NOT VOTE 3%

VOTER SENTIMENT

  • SOUTH AFRICA NEEDS A NEW GOVERNMENT 53%
  • SOUTH AFRICA MUST RETURN TO THE SPIRIT OF 1994 49%
  • SOUTH AFRICA IS GETTING BETTER 16%
  • THE GOVERNMENT IS DOING ITS BEST 12%

BLACK ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT

  • KEEP BEE IN THE INTEREST OF FAIRNESS 47%
  • RELAX BEE TO ENTICE FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT 43%
  • UNSURE 9%


 

Tags: dataeNCAgeneral electionspolitical partiespollvoter sentiments

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